Milder weather on Saturday; chance of rain Sunday afternoon, with snowflakes in some areas

Minnehaha Creek in Minnetonka Friday

News from Ron Trenda/MPR

Our snow cover has largely melted in the Twin Cities metropolitan area, but parts of north-central and northeastern Minnesota have a lot of snow on the ground:

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Thursday snow depths

Minnesota State Bureau of Climatology/Minnesota DNR

Light purple shaded areas of Lake and Cook counties have 24 inches or more of snow cover.

Parts of northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin saw snow this morning. Flurries will persist through early Saturday afternoon in parts of northwestern Wisconsin.

The roughly northern third of Minnesota has the best chance of a dusting Saturday afternoon, with a few stray flakes also possible at times. Far southeast Minnesota has a chance for a sprinkle early Saturday afternoon.

Weekend temperatures and winds

The average high temperature for our twin cities is 50 degrees this time of year. Parts of the metro area will hit 50 on Saturday afternoon, with some metro locations peaking in the upper 40s. Highs on Saturday will be in the 40s across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin, with around 30 in far northern Minnesota. A few places in far southern Minnesota will likely hit the lower 50s. Winds could sometimes blow in excess of 20 mph on Saturday afternoon.

Sunday highs reach 40 in most regions:

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Highs expected on Sunday

National Weather Service

Wind gusts on Sunday will be quite light in northern and central Minnesota, but wind gusts could exceed 20 mph by Sunday afternoon in the southwest:

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Sunday 2 p.m. expect gusty winds

National Weather Service

Rain, then snow

A low pressure system will spread rain or a rain/snow mix across west-central and southwestern Minnesota Sunday morning, with precipitation spreading eastward Sunday afternoon then persisting through Sunday evening/night. The Twin Cities metro area is expected to experience mostly rainy spells Sunday afternoon, with a possible rain/snow mix Sunday evening and a shift to mostly snow Sunday evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential pattern for precipitation from 7 a.m. Sunday to 7 a.m. Monday:

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Simulated radar from 7:00 a.m. Sunday to 7:00 a.m. Monday

NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

At this point, it looks like most of the metro area will see an inch or less of snow Sunday night and into Sunday night. Models show more than an inch of fresh snow in parts of west-central and southern Minnesota. Check for forecast updates, an earlier shift to snow or a different path of the low pressure system will change the snow forecast.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News Network, and you can see updated weather information on the MPR News live weather blog.

April snow

We average 3.5 inches of snow in the Twin Cities in April; this is an average over 30 years. Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport only recorded half an inch of snow in April in 2016 and 2017, as well as last April. The snowiest April in the Twin Cities weather records was in 2018, with 26.1 inches:

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Twin Cities Monthly Snow Totals

NWS data via Minnesota State Bureau of Climatology

John Bauer, right, and Fahmi Osman help residents dig up their vehicles.

Neighbors John Bauer, right, and Fahmi Osman help residents pull their vehicles out of the snow in Minneapolis on Sunday, April 15, 2018.

Jerry Holt | Star Tribune via AP

MSP airport had only a trace of snow in April 2012 and zero snow in April 2010.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm every Saturday and Sunday.

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